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Metaplanet Reports $680M Bitcoin Impairment but Raises 2025 Forecast

Why Did Metaplanet Record Such a Large Loss?

Japanese bitcoin treasury firm Metaplanet reported an impairment charge of 104.6 billion yen, roughly $680 million, tied to its bitcoin holdings for the fiscal year ended December 2025. The write-down reflects the decline in bitcoin prices during the period and is recorded as a non-operating expense under accounting rules.

The company said the impairment has no direct effect on cash flow or day-to-day operations, but it does materially affect reported earnings. With the charge included, Metaplanet expects a consolidated ordinary loss of 98.56 billion yen and a consolidated net loss of 76.63 billion yen for the year. The loss attributable to shareholders is projected at 54.02 billion yen.

Final audited results are scheduled for release on Feb. 16. The company noted that accounting treatment for bitcoin holdings can lead to sharp swings in reported results during periods of price volatility.

“While short-term accounting volatility is inherent to our business model, our medium-to-long-term BTC accumulation and capital strategy remain on track,” Metaplanet said in a statement.

Investor Takeaway

The impairment highlights how accounting rules can magnify earnings losses for bitcoin-heavy balance sheets, even when cash positions are unchanged.

How Large Is Metaplanet’s Bitcoin Exposure?

By the end of fiscal 2025, Metaplanet held 35,102 BTC, a sharp increase from 1,762 BTC a year earlier. The expansion reflects an aggressive accumulation strategy carried out during the year, including substantial purchases in the fourth quarter.

According to an earlier disclosure from chief executive Simon Gerovich, the company spent $451.06 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, paying an average price of $105,412 per bitcoin. By Dec. 31, bitcoin was trading near $87,500, well below that average cost, driving the impairment charge.

Because current accounting standards require bitcoin to be marked down when prices fall, but do not allow upward revaluation when prices recover, losses can remain on the books even if market prices later rebound. That asymmetry has become a defining feature of financial reporting for companies holding large digital asset reserves.

Why Did the Company Raise Its Earnings Forecast?

Despite the headline loss, Metaplanet revised its full-year 2025 earnings outlook higher. The company pointed to stronger-than-expected performance in its bitcoin income generation business, which uses derivatives and options strategies linked to bitcoin rather than relying solely on spot price appreciation.

Revenue for fiscal 2025 is now projected at 8.9 billion yen, up 31% from the previous estimate of 6.8 billion yen. Operating income is forecast at 6.3 billion yen, compared with an earlier projection of 4.7 billion yen.

The company said the revision reflects both higher trading income and greater flexibility in funding. It cited the issuance of Series B perpetual convertible preferred stock and access to a $500 million credit facility as factors that allowed it to deploy capital more efficiently across its income strategies.

“As a result, we were able to deploy capital more flexibly than initially anticipated, expanding allocation to the Bitcoin Income Generation Business,” the company said.

Investor Takeaway

Metaplanet’s revised outlook suggests the firm is relying less on bitcoin price gains alone and more on structured income strategies to support earnings.

What Is Metaplanet Expecting for 2026?

Looking ahead, Metaplanet issued preliminary forecasts for fiscal 2026 that point to continued growth in its income-focused operations. The company expects revenue of 16 billion yen and operating income of 11.4 billion yen, increases of nearly 80% and 81% respectively compared with its revised 2025 projections.

The bitcoin income generation business is expected to account for 15.6 billion yen of that revenue, underscoring its central role in the firm’s financial planning. The forecast assumes continued use of derivatives and options as the main drivers of returns rather than further balance-sheet expansion through spot bitcoin purchases alone.

Market reaction to the announcement was mixed. Metaplanet’s Tokyo-listed shares fell 7.03% to 476 yen, according to market data, reflecting investor sensitivity to the scale of the reported losses. In contrast, the company’s U.S.-traded shares on OTC Markets ended the prior session up 1.56% at $3.26.

The divergence highlights the challenge facing bitcoin-focused corporates: balancing accounting losses tied to price swings with operating narratives built around alternative revenue streams. For Metaplanet, the coming year will test whether income generation can offset the reporting impact of holding a large and volatile digital asset reserve.